The Moyes Question
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David Moyes' contract situation is a subject that has been bubbling under the surface in recent weeks. It cannot be culpable for performance levels dipping, neither can it be discounted.


Everton's record in the 2012 part of this season reads: Played 20. Won 8. Drawn 9. Lost 3. Goals for 33. Goals against 25. Points 33. Points per game 1.65. Win percentage: 40%.


For 2013, read: Played 6. Won 2. Drawn 3. Lost 1. Goals for 7. Goals against 7. Points 9. Points per game 1.5. Win percentage: 33.33%.


Sure, the fitness levels of Kevin Mirallas and Seamus Coleman may also have a bearing on performances, as our free-flowing attacking football has unquestionably been hit by their absences.


And, although it is difficult to start drawing up comparisons six games into 2013, since Moyes let it be known in December he harbours hopes of one day managing in Germany, our win percentage has fallen and performances levels have dropped despite retaining the bulk of our first-team squad.


While many Evertonians want Moyes to stay, every appointment has an expiry date. Bill Kenwright and Moyes have spoken of five-year cycles in the past, and it is unlikely Moyes would be willing to buy into another five years should the uncertainty over investment linger. Nor would he be expected to work indefinitely under such financial restrictions.


Flavour of the month can move pretty quickly in football, and it is testament to the stability and longevity of Moyes' tenure he is rightly celebrated in footballing circles. At Everton, the majority of fans trust his management implicitly, but three or four negative results in succession, and Moyes' moaners will become more vocal.


With our limited budget and strong core of players limited to 12 or 13 bodies, that is not beyond a possibility. Approaching 11 years in charge, whether privately or publicly, Moyes appears to be casting his net elsewhere. This is to be expected.


The fast turnover of management in the Championship this season is an example of how quickly things change in football. And despite the changes at Blackpool, Nott'm Forest and Blackburn extreme examples, they are endemic of how football can be cruel to managers.


Managers are judged purely on results. When they are struggling for points, they are removed. Therefore while they are held in high esteem, it is equally right they take opportunities when they arise.


Although pure speculation at this stage, Moyes courting a new challenge in the Bundesliga is understandable while he is revered relatively highly in football.


In many ways, this season is a watershed moment in Moyes' Everton reign. And it appears he sees it this way as well.


Before the Oldham game, Moyes revealed all talk of extending his current contract will be left until the summer, when it expires.


It is highly unlikely Moyes will renew his contract should we finish outside the European places and trophy-less. He may argue he has taken the club as far as he can, and that another manager deserves the chance to propel Everton to the next level.


Alternatively, should Moyes win the FA Cup, he may also chose to walk away, leaving on a high and with something tangible for his time at the club.


It therefore appears our league standing will dictate whether Moyes renews his contract. Should we qualify for the knock-out stages of the Champions League, you can take it as read his time at the club will be extended.


A fifth or sixth-place finish resulting in the Europa League is an intriguing scenario. Four European quests have left him wanting more, and I should think he'd want to stay. It is two years since Everton were in the Europa League, and would therefore constitute short-term progress.


But, this situation will present more though-provoking, and further challenges. Moyes will consider this secondary to Champions League qualification, and may walk away on the premise he has been unable to break through the glass ceiling of qualification for Europe's elite cup competition.


It will also result in a summer of uncertainty over two of our biggest assets. Marouane Fellaini will almost certainly kick up a fuss either via his father or the Belgium media, while Leighton Baines may be tempted by Champions League football should a club come calling.


The prospect of losing marquee players isn't new to Moyes, but it may well be one that he feels he has outgrown.


Sure, Moyes has a decision to make. In the meantime, it is up to the players to ignore speculation over his future and ensure our season is played out right until the final kick in May. I for one hope it is enough for the manager to extend his 11-year association with the club. 

The Secret Fan

Email Bluekipper at enquiries@bluekipper.com

Comments about The Moyes Question
I personally hope he stays and cheers up a little, and hopefully win a trophy!! and look to invest out extra income next season. If however he goes I feel the board should look to someone like gus Poyet at Brighton rather than like I've heard some fans suggest P. Neville.
CB, costa del, 3:14 PM 27/02/2013
Moyes is one of our top 5 post war managers but most of his job security comes from us remembering just how awful we were under Walker and (slightly less so) under Smith. It's a fear of regression not the thrill of progression that keeps him safe. Everton will be around long after he's gone. Personally I, too want him to stay but the thought of 11 more years without a trophy and consistently bottling it against Liverpool isn't so great.
Gary, London, 1:00 PM 27/02/2013
If David Moyes goes we'll end up like Blackburn, Portsmouth, Leeds, Sheffield Wednesday, Bolton, Charlton, Notts Forest, Sunderland, Birmingham, Swindon, Plymouth, Rangers and any of the other clubs whose arse fell out of them. That's how important he is.
Paul, Warrington, 12:57 PM 27/02/2013
3 -Steve - agree 100%. Moyes has been great for Everton but lets not forget that Everton has been great for Moyes. Complete control, total security, no expectation (beyond avoiding relegation) and the 16th highest managerial salary in world football. Personally I'd give him 'til Friday to sign or tell him to empty his desk.
Dave, Southport, 11:31 AM 27/02/2013
It is clear that Moyes is simply waiting to see if he gets a better offer than the one he's got at everton. In this country the only clubs that could provide that are Man U, Man City, Chelsea, the Arse, Spurs or Celtic. It is unlikely that any European clubs would take a punt on him so unless one of the above become managerless, I think he will stay. The alternative is resign and sit around at home waiting for the phone to ring.
Matt Williams, Chester, 9:49 AM 27/02/2013
Am I the only one who thinks Moyes is a cheeky git. In what other walk of life would you be able to, as a manager, refuse to discuss a new contract and let your other one expire? You would be put on gardening leave and escorted from the premises as you would be deemed as a risk to the business. The company would then actively search for a replacement whilst getting an understudy to temporarily fill your role so as to ensure that the post was filled by a totally committed and engaged employee. Lets not forget Moyes is an employee of Everton Football Club - he works for us and I find it amazing that he is allowed to create a situation where he will decide whether he will stay or go and potentially leave Everton in a position where we don't know how things will unfold. He is showing a terrible lack of respect for the supporters and the club with this terrible lack of judgement. He should sign now and commit himself or go. (or be axed). For the record I personally want him to sign and commit but he should not be allowed to place this club in this position.
Steve Southers, Jersey, 7:16 PM 26/02/2013
i want moyes to stay but surely another 11 years of winning nothing is not good enough, moyes continually praises kenwright but i find it hard to believe that no one has come forward to buy the club, we are always crying poverty such a long way from what we had, it's also strange that every 6 months or so we get a report in the paper that someone is intalks with the everton board and everton are about to sell but nothing ever comes of it, maybe if kenwright would tell us just how much he thinks everton are worth then someone might come forward
scouser, liverpool, 7:12 PM 26/02/2013
Well written. Maybe it is time for change. I dont think so, but the majority of my Blue friends do. But my question is "Who replaces him" Is there a better manager out there Everton could attract? Im not saying there isnt. I just cant think of one.
Darlodarrel, Darlington, 5:51 PM 26/02/2013
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